Patience and Profits

Volatility returns Stock market volatility is back. In February this year, the S&P 500 posted the largest single-day point fall in its history, only to rebound with the fourth largest single-day rise in history. All that volatility has some questioning if it still makes sense to invest in the stock market. S&P 500 BEST & WORST SINGLE DAY POINT … Continue reading Patience and Profits

Egypt Waits for Spring

Cradle of civilization  Egypt has been called the "cradle of civilization." Egyptians are tied to some of the earliest forms of language, agriculture, and technology that's known to man.  While the country has experienced its share of modern social and political issues, Egypt today is ripe with potential.  Consider the following characteristics. The most populated … Continue reading Egypt Waits for Spring

Dimming the Lights

Last year I made the case for solar stocks.  I was reasonably optimistic about the long-term prospects for the industry and thought stock prices looked meaningfully undervalued.   I got lucky timing-wise because solar stocks were up 54% in 2017 -- that much I did not expect. Source: etfreplay.com Of course, I'm not complaining. But valuations … Continue reading Dimming the Lights

No Market for Old Men

US stocks are in one of the longest bull markets in history.  Many are warning of extended market valuations.  Two of the most highly regarded valuation measures seem to agree. The chart below shows Dr. Robert Shiller's CAPE ratio has reached levels surpassed only by the dot-com bubble peak in 2000. CAPE Ratio Source: Multpl … Continue reading No Market for Old Men

From Nigeria with Love

In April I wrote about the Nigerian stock market. Since May the Nigerian market is up 30%.  Over the same period, the global stock market has basically been flat (shown below).   Nigerian Stock Market and Global Stock Market represented by NGE and VT, respectively Timing-wise this was lucky-- I didn't predict a two-week turnaround. … Continue reading From Nigeria with Love

Buy the Rumor, Sell the News

The markets saw some back and forth this month but the S&P 500 closed the quarter up about 5% and even bonds managed to eek out a small gain.  The "Trump rally" is moving along, and the market still buys the president's campaign promises. But following the capitulation of repeal and replace, Trump's ability to … Continue reading Buy the Rumor, Sell the News